Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3183.884940 3435.057559 3689.213462 3965.318885 4256.476870 4554.058222 4880.859319
2024-12-29 2821.751134 3200.665059 3597.918859 4044.200639 4530.320689 5042.538131 5621.787631
2025-01-05 2558.892758 3013.752993 3503.354256 4066.968758 4695.260022 5371.556999 6151.944956
2025-01-12 2346.961320 2854.775183 3413.747703 4070.490853 4816.681968 5633.929808 6592.345630
2025-01-19 2101.650410 2636.630003 3238.164144 3958.558353 4791.615696 5718.558554 6821.622703
2025-01-26 2028.304117 2608.632945 3272.329325 4079.240872 5025.244297 6090.792839 7373.041616
2025-02-02 1942.554389 2558.246327 3273.802142 4156.143858 5203.848016 6397.284702 7848.157098
2025-02-09 1825.526703 2462.298147 3214.385414 4154.872175 5285.702990 6588.023971 8186.985819
2025-02-16 1706.383770 2356.618694 3136.867852 4125.964163 5329.687223 6730.548913 8466.696186
2025-02-23 1634.452966 2305.364126 3121.813130 4169.271041 5457.499534 6970.348893 8860.455460
2025-03-02 1546.335679 2228.708985 3071.080865 4164.951631 5524.518741 7135.607564 9164.565693
2025-03-09 1500.347611 2203.607797 3082.626729 4236.043070 5682.599109 7409.953394 9600.041879
2025-03-16 1411.057482 2119.033861 3016.933452 4209.474316 5720.726955 7541.252981 9867.275454
2025-03-23 1374.550477 2102.846899 3037.754079 4291.882109 5894.742393 7839.447763 10339.608647
2025-03-30 1316.607473 2054.699044 3014.494214 4315.676612 5993.617302 8044.677814 10698.691717
2025-04-06 1254.708469 1998.101138 2977.486396 4319.357360 6065.248675 8215.210263 11014.997727
2025-04-13 1150.654576 1878.019669 2851.524520 4202.365116 5978.643468 8185.229388 11080.388007
2025-04-20 1143.642865 1894.695302 2909.538588 4328.501367 6206.179420 8550.854272 11640.847536
2025-04-27 1120.644253 1887.121406 2933.594585 4408.857643 6374.328044 8842.281408 12110.135244
2025-05-04 1070.365724 1837.642958 2898.093908 4407.528992 6434.489350 8996.080003 12406.477801
2025-05-11 1013.260876 1775.582351 2842.836901 4377.324752 6454.921029 9098.019817 12636.752641
2025-05-18 984.142392 1754.033208 2843.376821 4422.572620 6575.029620 9328.144512 13030.905468
2025-05-25 940.734934 1708.932831 2808.859788 4418.059854 6627.671573 9470.687154 13313.403304